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Defying the Longevity Odds


Sħãlïq™
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Kobe just one star defying aging curve

 

http://a.espncdn.com/photo/2011/0128/pg2_u_nowbryall_576.jpg

 

What do these three have in common? They've all managed to put off 'The Change'*.

 

AGING STARS

RS Min = regular season minutes; PL Min = playoff minutes; RS MPG = regular season minutes per game; PL MPG = playoffs minutes per game

 

Player Games Playoffs RS Min PL Min RS MPG PL MPG Seasons

Bryant 1067 198 38,887 7,811 36.5 39.4 14

Allen 1067 101 39,535 3,987 37.1 39.5 14

Nash 1057 118 33,055 4,228 31.3 35.8 14

Nowitzki 956 103 34,980 4,301 36.6 41.8 12

Pierce 929 101 34,480 4,032 37.1 39.9 12

 

http://img689.imageshack.us/img689/9954/almos.jpg

http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=simmons/110128&sportCat=nba

 

Who'll Be The First To Break Down?

*Change = Season in which "The Change" in the player's productivity took place;

Edited by Shaliq
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All of them have a skill set to remain effective until they retire. They are all crafty, they can all shoot, and they are all smart players. If I had to pick one it'd probably be Nash. All the other guys can be at the least spot up shooters until they retire, and Nash has the heaviest work load by far in Phoenix. It is really quite amazing he continues to do what he does at his age and with how much offensive responsibility the team puts on him. All these guys are still a ways from being retired though, especially Kobe and Dirk.

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I'd say Kobe Bryant for two reasons...

 

-He's played at a higher level longer than all of them. Obviously all the guys listed are very good, or great players, but Kobe is one of the best to ever play the game...So, he's probably the one to have the earliest fall from greatness just because we are so used to seeing him dominate and take over games.

-His knees. I remember him saying earlier in the year his knee was only at like 60%? That's pretty rough. With all the nagging knee injuries this guy has had, I see him breaking down earlier than the other guys.

 

But more because of reason 1^...because we are so used to seeing him as being so great...he'll probably be the one who takes the biggest turn soon.

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I'd say Kobe Bryant for two reasons...

 

-He's played at a higher level longer than all of them. Obviously all the guys listed are very good, or great players, but Kobe is one of the best to ever play the game...So, he's probably the one to have the earliest fall from greatness just because we are so used to seeing him dominate and take over games.

-His knees. I remember him saying earlier in the year his knee was only at like 60%? That's pretty rough. With all the nagging knee injuries this guy has had, I see him breaking down earlier than the other guys.

 

But more because of reason 1^...because we are so used to seeing him as being so great...he'll probably be the one who takes the biggest turn soon.

I highly doubt Kobe is the one who's going to decline first. You saw what he did in 07-09 with messed up fingers on his shooting hand. Most NBA players would have had the surgery ASAP, but Kobe kept putting up great games, great numbers, great shots, great game-winners.

 

He's averaging 25.5 ppg this season and he's putting that up in only 33 mpg (his lowest since his 2nd season in the NBA). People have been waiting for Kobe to start declining for a couple of years now, with all the mileage and injuries, but it just won't happen with the way he's taking care of his body. I expect him to go strong 3-5 more years.

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I highly doubt Kobe is the one who's going to decline first. You saw what he did in 07-09 with messed up fingers on his shooting hand. Most NBA players would have had the surgery ASAP, but Kobe kept putting up great games, great numbers, great shots, great game-winners.

 

He's averaging 25.5 ppg this season and he's putting that up in only 33 mpg (his lowest since his 2nd season in the NBA). People have been waiting for Kobe to start declining for a couple of years now, with all the mileage and injuries, but it just won't happen with the way he's taking care of his body. I expect him to go strong 3-5 more years.

Yeah...I think he'll still be a good player in 3 years, I just don't think he'll be the games best anymore.

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I'll go with Nash because he is so old. Kobe will probably be second if not first because he has played more games than all of them. I think Allen can survive for a while just because he could play as a corner shooter for 10 more years if he wanted to :lol:

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